JLL Chief Economist Ryan Severino recently visited Phoenix to present his views on today’s U.S. economy and the impact national conditions may have on the Phoenix commercial real estate market. Here are his top 4 takeaways.
1.Goldilocks economy should continue, with the potential for upside depending upon policy.
There have been no signs of a slowdown as the market continues to record strong absorption gains, consistent rent growth and healthy development activity. This year is on pace to record over 8.8 million square feet of positive absorption, marking the eighth consecutive year of positive absorption gains.
As the real estate market continues to appreciate in value, commercial real estate owners are advised to review and, if prudent, appeal property tax assessments. Counties in Arizona, Utah and California have or will be issuing assessment notices and hearing appeals in the fall providing an opportunity for commercial… Read More
In 2016, approximately 43 million people visited Arizona spending a record $21.2 billion in the state. The Phoenix MSA accounted for more than 65.5 percent, or $13.9 billion, of all spending in Arizona. With an estimated Gross Domestic Product of $9.2 billion, tourism is the number one export industry in the state.
According to JLL’s Q2 Phoenix Industrial Insight Report, the hot activity of manufacturing companies is driving up industrial rental rates. In the last year alone, manufacturing rates have surged 18.6 percent, to $0.59 per square foot. This sector has been particularly active in the Southeast Valley, especially in Tempe and Mesa.
At the end of 2016, mega deals in the net lease United States office sector has propelled sales to record high volumes while retail activity remained limited and a slowdown in industrial activity was starting to occur. How does the net lease sector look six months later? We sat down with our national experts, Tivon Moffitt, Peter Bauman and John Paul Mulhern for an update.
Total non-farm employment in Metro Phoenix reached 2,023,400 payrolls in April 2017, representing an annualized increase of 48,800 jobs. As a result, unemployment was reported at 3.9 percent in April, down 60 basis points from one year prior. This is the lowest unemployment rate we’ve seen in Metro Phoenix in ten years.
Job growth was led by the Leisure & Hospitality and Financial Activities sectors, which added 14,700 jobs and 8,800 jobs, respectively.… Read More
Maricopa County grew by 81,360 residents between July 1, 2015 and July 1, 2016, the largest population gain in the nation. Harris County, Texas, had the second-largest net migration, growing by 56,587 people over the same time period.
The city of Phoenix added approximately 32,113 residents over the same time… Read More
Phoenix’s population rose from nearly 4.2 million to more than 4.6 million from 2010 to 2016 based on new population estimates released by the U.S. Census Bureau. Metro Phoenix averaged a total net increase of over 1,436 persons per week over that time period.
Growth among traditional and non-traditional industrial users continues to push the Phoenix industrial market forward. This is particularly true in Scottsdale and Deer Valley, where asking rents surged as much as 30 percent in the first quarter of the year as demand surpassed new product in Scottsdale and matched new supply in Deer Valley, according to our Q1 2017 Phoenix Industrial Insight report.
While the average asking rental rate for local industrial space… Read More